The thing is, we go in it will almost certainly prove enough of a distraction that Trump will face far less criticism because we’re helping the poor under privileged people in Venezuela or securing our borders. It will be a distraction he wants. Possibly even something to bring further unity backing him.We didn't really lead Libya... It was mostly Europe telling us that all the stuff they yelled at us about the middle east needed to be done in Libya and getting mad when we didn't even really feel like it.
You're all way too hung up on the US part of this story. Venezuala has been an utter shitshow for years, people are fucking starving and fleeing the country. Most of South America already turned against Maduro. Mexico, Cuba, and Bolivia are the only current supporters of the current regime.
The country is already breaking down on its own. Inflation was 80,000% percent in 2018. What you want the US to do, give Maduro hundreds of millions of dollars in equipment to keep him in power in the face of obvious discontent?
Now, if we actually go into help there’s no right way of doing it. We support him, we support a tyrant. We’re giving power to a guy who has seems corrupt and helping to prop him up. Which may not be all bad. Some stability is better than nothing.
We go in with force and we’re going to kill thousands or tens of thousands at best who resist or just get in the way, accidents not counting the humanitarian clusterfuck it will be. We haven’t properly built up our past two ventures or Haiti even. I’m not sure how old you are but I remember all the dead kids and families playing on the road to Baghdad. Roads filled with wrecked burned out cars.
So we bring him down. Then what? Some portion of that country will resent us interfering and make it difficult. Another will seek to exploit us. Others will try to do the right thing but that’s difficult because it means they’ll have to agree on something. Remember WW2? Nazis and Axis allies murdering people and partisan groups fought one another because they didn’t like each. Afghanistan, Iraq. Same thing. Without that force, that national being holding people in check they seem to fall apart under such turmoil. Sure Americans can fill that gap for a time but losses will mount, expenses will rise, resentment will most likely continue and prosper.
This isn’t even taking into account the greater political environment of Russia being salty as fuck and possibly China as well or the neighborhood who may want their people involved. I well imagine other South American nations would be thrilled at America busting open a sewage line that spills over into their yards in great spurts at that point.
Better to go hands off for now. America is damned if we do and damned if we don’t but not rushing in will save us the expenditure of resources, time, lives for now.